Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 4.924378 5.605945 6.356530 7.245909 8.272883 9.423722 10.814187
2025-04-27 4.062710 4.961553 6.029733 7.398265 9.112964 11.200593 13.950417
2025-05-04 3.589139 4.616179 5.907597 7.662042 10.000849 13.035606 17.311074
2025-05-11 3.087338 4.135654 5.513874 7.475747 10.224647 13.980644 19.572181
2025-05-18 2.732940 3.790601 5.235340 7.376720 10.510328 14.990833 21.995192
2025-05-25 2.454880 3.510988 5.003237 7.296041 10.784361 15.980527 24.473061
2025-06-01 2.212976 3.252807 4.767196 7.170582 10.958246 16.814767 26.785328
2025-06-08 2.001529 3.015767 4.534010 7.015752 11.055355 17.520143 28.951567
2025-06-15 1.923659 2.971758 4.584879 7.302112 11.873544 19.452849 33.391219
2025-06-22 1.807948 2.856260 4.510494 7.373618 12.337093 20.836389 37.040158
2025-06-29 1.681484 2.711329 4.373968 7.324293 12.582489 21.860209 40.153121
2025-07-06 1.564182 2.570864 4.231272 7.247604 12.765936 22.783541 43.180073
2025-07-13 1.506865 2.527937 4.251257 7.462153 13.505340 24.820697 48.684334
2025-07-20 1.443790 2.469531 4.238889 7.616001 14.146678 26.744066 54.230295
2025-07-27 1.404065 2.448256 4.288945 7.887868 15.039423 29.254544 61.358812
2025-08-03 1.300450 2.303761 4.104286 7.695533 14.994879 29.871316 64.454929
2025-08-10 1.218848 2.193174 3.972844 7.593321 15.119360 30.845966 68.482997
2025-08-17 1.146910 2.095065 3.856766 7.510053 15.272334 31.893701 72.822856
2025-08-24 1.075419 1.992500 3.724095 7.380574 15.312502 32.696529 76.686930
2025-08-31 1.006330 1.889621 3.583000 7.220793 15.269656 33.306244 80.158657
2025-09-07 0.993126 1.894875 3.655411 7.516318 16.264524 36.401850 90.401668
2025-09-14 0.956807 1.851413 3.626243 7.590118 16.763156 38.389364 98.056209
2025-09-21 0.910443 1.784385 3.543763 7.539211 16.966074 39.685509 104.041379